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vTv Therapeutics Inc. (VTVT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • vTv reported a pre-revenue Q3 2025 with net loss per share of $1.08, missing S&P Global consensus EPS of $0.98 as R&D ramped with Phase 3 CATT1 start and a Novo Nordisk license milestone accrual . EPS consensus values from S&P Global.*
  • Balance sheet was fortified via an $80M private placement; cash rose to $98.5M at 9/30 from $25.9M at 6/30, de‑risking CATT1 funding through topline readout targeted in 2H 2026 .
  • Operational milestones: first participant randomized in CATT1 and further IP protection with a patent allowance extending potential exclusivity to 2041, both supporting the T1D thesis .
  • Management reiterated topline timing for CATT1 in 2H 2026; investors will focus on enrollment cadence, R&D spend trajectory, and balance sheet runway as key near-term stock reaction drivers .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strengthened funding: Closed an $80M private placement; cash reached $98.5M at quarter-end, positioning to complete CATT1. CEO: “we… successfully completed an $80 million private placement… With a strengthened balance sheet, we are positioned to continue advancing our cadisegliatin program” .
  • Clinical execution: First study participant randomized in CATT1; trial underway at up to 25 U.S. sites with ~150 participants planned, assessing hypoglycemia incidence as the primary endpoint .
  • IP protection: USPTO Notice of Allowance for crystalline salt/co‑crystal forms of cadisegliatin; term runs through 2041, strengthening the asset’s moat .

What Went Wrong

  • EPS miss: Q3 diluted EPS of $(1.08) versus S&P Global consensus of $(0.98), reflecting higher R&D tied to CATT1 and a Novo Nordisk license milestone accrual . EPS consensus values from S&P Global.*
  • Operating expense escalation: R&D rose to $7.0M from $3.2M YoY; G&A increased to $3.7M from $3.3M, expanding total operating expenses to $10.7M (vs. $6.5M LY) .
  • Continued lack of revenue: No revenue recognized in Q3 2025 (also $0 in Q2 and Q1), underscoring reliance on financing vs. operating cash flows until potential commercialization .

Financial Results

P&L summary (USD)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($M)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Research & Development ($M)$2.83 $4.10 $7.02
General & Administrative ($M)$3.67 $3.62 $3.68
Operating Loss ($M)$(6.50) $(7.72) $(10.70)
Net Loss Attributable to vTv ($M)$(5.09) $(6.05) $(8.70)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.77) $(0.92) $(1.08)
Weighted Avg Shares (Basic & Diluted)6,582,844 6,587,070 8,055,940

Note: YoY comps for Q3 show R&D $7.0M vs $3.2M and G&A $3.7M vs $3.3M, EPS $(1.08) vs $(0.88) .

Balance sheet and KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$31.06 $25.92 $98.50
Contract Liabilities (non‑current) ($M)$18.67 $18.67 $18.67
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($M)$8.90 $2.41 $70.54

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
CATT1 topline readout timingProgram2H 2026 (Q1/Q2 communications) 2H 2026 reaffirmed Maintained
CATT1 trial durationProtocol12 months (prior)6 months after protocol amendment in April 2025 Shortened
CATT1 trial statusProgramScreening reinitiated (May 2025) First participant randomized (Aug 2025) Progressed
Funding for CATT1FinancingN/A$80M private placement closed; proceeds expected to fund CATT1 and continued development New funding

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was located in our document set; themes below reflect press releases and 8‑K disclosures.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
R&D execution (CATT1)Q1: Screening reinitiated; protocol cut from 12→6 months; topline 2H26 . Q2: First participant to be randomized; topline 2H26 .First participant randomized; trial underway at up to 25 sites; ~150 participants planned; CGM to inform primary endpoint (hypoglycemia incidence) .Positive execution momentum
IP/RegulatoryQ1/Q2: No new IP; Breakthrough Therapy status reiterated .USPTO Notice of Allowance; exclusivity expected to 2041 .Strengthening IP position
Financing/RunwayQ1/Q2: Cash $31.1M → $25.9M .$80M private placement; cash $98.5M .Runway extended
Partnerships/LicensingLimited; background references to partners .Higher indirect costs include Novo Nordisk license milestone accrual in R&D .Economic engagement noted
External visibilityHCW@Home (June) .Sept investor conferences; INNODIA symposium presentations .Increased outreach

Management Commentary

  • “The third quarter saw a series of meaningful achievements… we randomized our first patient in the Phase 3 CATT1 trial… and successfully completed an $80 million private placement financing… positioned to continue advancing our cadisegliatin program and remain on track to report topline results… in the second half of 2026.” — Paul Sekhri, Chairman, President & CEO .
  • “Randomizing the first participant in CATT1 represents another key milestone… We look forward to reporting topline Phase 3 data… in the second half of 2026.” — Dr. Thomas Strack, CMO .
  • “We are pleased… [the USPTO] further strengthens the protection around cadisegliatin… another important milestone.” — Paul Sekhri on IP allowance .

Q&A Highlights

  • Not available: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was identified in company filings/press materials for the period.

Estimates Context

  • EPS: vTv missed Q3 consensus EPS as higher R&D (CATT1 start and a Novo Nordisk license milestone accrual) flowed through P&L . EPS consensus values from S&P Global.*
  • Revenue: Consensus was effectively zero; actual revenue was $0, in line . Revenue consensus values from S&P Global.*
MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS Consensus Mean ($)(0.815)*(0.825)*(0.98)*
EPS Actual ($)(0.77) (0.92) (1.08)
EPS – # of Estimates2*2*2*
Revenue Consensus ($M)0.0*0.0*0.0*
Revenue Actual ($M)0.0 0.0 0.0

Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Funding de-risked near term: $80M private placement lifted cash to $98.5M, materially extending runway and providing resources to execute CATT1 to topline in 2H 2026 .
  • Clinical progress on-track: First patient randomized; protocol shortened to 6 months, potentially accelerating data while maintaining key endpoints (primary: hypoglycemia incidence) .
  • IP strengthened: Patent allowance out to 2041 bolsters cadisegliatin’s potential exclusivity horizon, a key component of asset value in T1D .
  • Near-term P&L pressure: R&D stepped up (to $7.0M) as Phase 3 operations scale and due to a Novo Nordisk license milestone accrual; investors should expect elevated opex while the trial enrolls .
  • Estimate calibration: With continued pre-revenue status and rising R&D, Street EPS may remain conservative; Q3 missed EPS consensus as opex rose with program advancement. EPS consensus values from S&P Global.* .
  • Watch enrollment cadence and operational updates (sites active, participant count), as these are key to maintaining the 2H26 topline timeline and the stock’s binary-risk profile .
  • Potential catalysts: CATT1 enrollment updates, additional IP developments, partnering/financing news, and scientific visibility (e.g., conferences) could shape sentiment ahead of topline data .

References:

  • Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and financials .
  • Q2 2025 8‑K/press release .
  • Q1 2025 8‑K/press release .
  • Additional Q3‑period press releases (CATT1 randomization, patent allowance, conferences, INNODIA symposium) .

Notes: EPS and revenue consensus/estimate figures are sourced from S&P Global and marked with an asterisk.*